Interactions between agriculture, climate and patterns of land use are complex. Major changes in agriculture, and land use patterns are foreseen in the next couple of decades in response to shifts in climate, greenhouse gas management initiatives, population growth and other forces. The book explores key interactions between changes in agriculture, patterns of land use and efforts to reduce greenhouse emissions from agriculture. The volume is based on inter-disciplinary science and policy interactions, exploring the way land use may aid in addressing or be affected by the onset of climate change and alterations in food demand. Future forces shaping land use decisions are examined, and its sensitivity to climate change is highlighted. Patterns of land use and the agricultural role in climate change mitigation are explored. Also, policy and social responses to the new perspectives on future land use patterns are identified. The perspective of the book is beyond the year 2015.
1. Introduction; Floor Brouwer and Bruce A. McCarl.
Part 1: Setting the scene. 2. Agriculture, climate and future land use patterns: potential for a simulation-based exploration; Peter H. Verburg and Jan Peter Lesschen. 3.Technology development and climate change as drivers of future agricultural land use; Frank Ewert, Mark Rounsevell, Isabelle Reginster, Marc Metzger and Rik Leemans. 4. Agricultural transitions at dryland and tropical forest margins: actors, scales and trade-offs; Helmut Geist, Eric Lambin, Cheryl Palm and Thomas Tomich.
Part 2: Cases on future land use. 5. World livestock and crop production systems, land use and environment between 1970 and 2030; Lex Bouwman, Klaas van der Hoek, Gerard van Drecht and Bas Eickhout. 6. Agricultural change and limits to deforestation in Central America; David Carr, Alisson Barbieri, William Pan and Heide Iranavi. 7. Rising food demand, climate change and the use of land and water; Hermann Lotze-Campen, Christoph Müller, Alberte Bondeau, Pascalle Smith and Wolfgang Lucht. 8. Population and economic growth as drivers of future land use in India; Neeraj Sharma.
Part 3: Agricultural mitigation responses. 9. Bottom-up methodologies for assessing technical and economic bioenergy production potential; Edward M.W. Smeets, Jinke van Dam, André P.C. Faaij and Iris M. Lewandowski. 10. Changes in consumption patterns: options and impacts of a transition in protein foods; Harry Aiking, Xueqin Zhu, Ekko van Ierland, Frank Willemsen, Xinyou Yin and Jan Vos. 11. Participatory approaches for a transition in agriculture: the case of the Netherlands; Jan Ros, Matthijs Hisschemöller, Floor Brouwer and Gert-Jan van den Born.12. Options and tradeoffs: reducing greenhouse gas emissions from food production systems; Sanderine Nonhebel. 13. U.S. agriculture and forestry greenhouse gas emission mitigation over time; Heng-Chi Lee, Bruce A. McCarl, Dhazn Gillig and Brian C. Murray. 14. Biosphere greenhouse gas management: transformative change in Canadian northern Great Plains agriculture; Marie Boehm, Henry Janzen, Bob MacGregor and Murray Fulton.
Part 4: Policy and social responses. 15. Policy efforts to achieve sustainable agriculture: an OECD perspective; Wilfrid Legg. 16. Institutional and organizational change: biosphere greenhouse gas management in Canadian northern Great Plains agriculture; Murray Fulton, Patricia L. Farnese, Bob MacGregor, Marie Boehm and Alfons Weersink. 17. Performance standards and the farmer: design and application in greenhouse gas mitigation; Patricia L. Farnese.