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Introduces the bootstrap approach, which relies on modern computer power, for extracting quantitative climatological information
Describes software implementation of the methods and supplies real-world examples
Provides statistical background and an up-to-date overview of similar applications in Earth sciences
Climate is a paradigm of a complex system. Analysing climate data is an exciting
challenge, which is increased by non-normal distributional shape, serial dependence,
uneven spacing and timescale uncertainties. This book presents bootstrap
resampling as a computing-intensive method able to meet the challenge. It shows
the bootstrap to perform reliably in the most important statistical estimation
techniques: regression, spectral analysis, extreme values and correlation.
This book is written for climatologists and applied statisticians. It explains step
by step the bootstrap algorithms (including novel adaptions) and methods for
confidence interval construction. It tests the accuracy of the algorithms by means
of Monte Carlo experiments. It analyses a large array of climate time series,
giving a detailed account on the data and the associated climatological questions.
This makes the book self-contained for graduate students and researchers.
Manfred Mudelsee received his diploma in Physics from the University of Heidelberg and his doctoral degree in Geology from the University of Kiel. He was then postdoc in Statistics
at the University of Kent at Canterbury, research scientist in Meteorology at the University of Leipzig and visiting scholar in Earth Sciences at Boston University; currently he does climate research at the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven. His science focuses on climate extremes, time series analysis and mathematical simulation methods. He has authored over 50 peer-reviewed articles. In his 2003 Nature paper, Mudelsee introduced the bootstrap method to flood risk analysis. In 2005, he founded the company Climate Risk Analysis.
Content Level »Research
Keywords »AR(1) - Atmospheric - Bootstrap - Frequency analysis - Regression - Resampling - Scale - Time series - Weather - correlation