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  • © 2014

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

  • Offers a sophisticated risk assessment approach which links epidemiological and geostatistical measures
  • Applies regional temperature projections to research on the impacts of climate change
  • Shows how modeling can help to identify areas at risk in an epidemiological context with the aim of initiating preventative measures
  • Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras

Part of the book series: SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science (BRIEFSENVIRONMENTAL)

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Table of contents (4 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-viii
  2. Background and Goals

    • Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt
    Pages 1-6
  3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Risks of Malaria Outbreaks in Germany

    • Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt
    Pages 29-46
  4. Conclusions and Outlook

    • Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt
    Pages 47-58

About this book

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

Authors and Affiliations

  • Lehrstuhl für Landschaftsökologie, Universität Vechta, Vechta, Germany

    Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access