Quantified Societal Risk and Policy Making

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-ix

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2. Three Conceptions of Quantified Societal Risk

   • Pieter Jan M. Stallen, Rob Geerts, Han K. Vrijling

   Pages 1-18

3. Flood Protection, Safety Standards and Societal Risk

   • Richard Jorissen

   Pages 19-36

4. Modeling Considerations in the Analysis of Risk Management Strategies

   • Theodore S. Glickman

   Pages 37-40

5. Risk Criteria for the Transportation of Hazardous Materials

   • Henk G. Roodbol

   Pages 41-48

6. The Role of Societal Risk in Land Use Planning Near Hazardous Installations and in Assessing the Safety of the Transport of Hazardous Materials at the National and Local Level

   • Jonathan Carter, Nigel Riley

   Pages 49-61

7. Protection of Man and Environment in the Vicinity of Hazardous Installations in Germany

   • Hans-Joachim Uth

   Pages 62-65

8. Risk Assessment and Risk Management: Tools and Organisation

   • Rudi M. Dauwe

   Pages 66-72

9. On the Risks of Transporting Dangerous Goods

   • Vedat Verter

   Pages 73-83

10. Accident Risk in Complementary Transport Chains

    • Gerhard Hundhausen

    Pages 84-96

11. An applied economy-look at transport safety

    • Ian Jones

    Pages 97-100

12. Issues in Societal Risk of Hazardous Chemicals: The Use of FN Diagrams, Data Reliability and Uncertainty

    • Palle Haastrup

    Pages 101-123

13. Side Notes on Negative Consequences and Uncertainty

    • Knut Emblem

    Pages 124-125

14. FN Data Need Supplement of Temporal Trend Analysis

    • Roger Cooke

    Pages 126-131

15. Risk-Based Decision Making in the Transportation Sector

    • Hans Bohnenblust

    Pages 132-153

16. The Need for Risk Benefit Analysis

    • Robert Runcie

    Pages 154-157

17. Societal Risk Amid Other Risk Concerns: The Experience of the Great Belt Project (1987–1996)

    • Leif Vincentsen

    Pages 158-165

18. Methods and Models for the Assessment of Third Party Risk Due to Aircraft Accidents in the Vicinity of Airports and Their Implications for Societal Risk

    • Michel Piers

    Pages 166-204

19. Reflections on Source-Based Approaches

    • Philippe Hubert

    Pages 205-206

20. Quality Requirements of Societal Risk Models

    • Florentin Lange

    Pages 207-211

Quantified Societal Risk and Policy Making is the result of an international workshop on societal risk organized by the Dutch Ministry for Transport, Public Works and Water Management with additional financial support from the Directorate for Transportation (DG VII) of the European Union.
Managing risks, whether there is a strong man-made or natural component, basically means assessing alternative options under uncertainty. The possibility of multiple fatalities is one of the factors that can vary between options.
This volume is concerned with one particular type of risk - the risk of death of a number of people in one accident - and with one particular tool - probabilistic risk analysis - as they are developing in various domains of society nowadays. Generally, this risk is labelled societal risk. This book shows how such comparisons are shaped at present in various hazard domains, such as:

• flood protection
• location and physical planning of industry
• transportation of chemicals, and
• prevention of aircraft accidents.

It examines how to represent aggregate risks from major hazards in ways that can be handled by policy-makers. The purpose of the book is to increase the awareness of societal risk, disseminate available knowledge of existing approaches, and exchange information on applications from various domains.
Quantified Societal Risk and Policy Making should be of interest to all those professionally concerned with defining the optimal separation between hazardous activities and equally desirable developments nearby.

• Change
• assessment
• management
• organization
• planning
• prevention
• strategy
• transport

• Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat, The Netherlands

  R. E. Jorissen

• Stallen & Smit, Maatschap voor Milieubeleid, The Netherlands

  P. J. M. Stallen

Policies and ethics