Risk Assessment, Modeling and Decision Support

1. Front Matter

   Pages I-XIV

   PDF

2. Introduction

   • Ann Bostrom, Steven P. French

   Pages 1-4

3. A Brief History of Seismic Risk Assessment

   • Charles Scawthorn

   Pages 5-81

4. Perspectives on the History of Seismic Risk Assessment

   • Robert V. Whitman, Amr S. Elnashai, Dennis S. Mileti

   Pages 83-100

5. Strategic Directions in Seismic Modeling: HAZUS® Development and Current Applications for Catastrophe Planning

   • Thomas S. Durham, Pushpendra Johari, Douglas Bausch

   Pages 101-116

6. Perspectives on Development and Current Applications for Catastrophe Planning

   • Rachel Davidson, Philip J. Schneider, Subrahmanyam Muthukumar

   Pages 117-133

7. Loss Estimation Models and Metrics

   • Ronald T. Eguchi, Hope A. Seligson

   Pages 135-170

8. Perspectives on Loss Estimation Models and Metrics

   • Stephanie Chang, Walter Gillis Peacock, Steven P. French

   Pages 171-183

9. Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions Under Uncertainty

   • Robin K. McGuire

   Pages 185-198

10. Perspectives on Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions Under Uncertainty

    • Mitchell J. Small, Bruce R. Ellingwood, Leonardo Dueñas-Osorio

    Pages 199-226

11. Modeling Seismic Mitigation Strategies

    • Patricia Grossi

    Pages 227-245

12. Perspectives on Modeling Seismic Mitigation Strategies

    • Laurie Johnson, Mary Beth Hueste, Robert B. Olshansky, Yang Zhang

    Pages 247-260

13. Visualizing Uncertainty in Natural Hazards

    • Alex Pang

    Pages 261-294

14. Perspectives on Visualizing Uncertainty in Natural Hazards

    • Ellen Peters, Ann Bostrom, Susan Cutter

    Pages 295-318

15. Conclusion

    • Ann Bostrom, Steven P. French, Sara J. Gottlieb

    Pages 319-321

16. Back Matter

    Pages 323-332

    PDF

1 2 Ann Bostrom , Steven P. French 1,2 Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, USA st The first years of the 21 century brought horrific loss of life and property from earthquakes and tsunamis worldwide. Briefly, the world focused on international disaster prevention, response and recovery. Terrorism loomed large as well, after 9–11, leading to the creation of the Department of Homeland Security in the United States, and a plethora of related efforts globally. Many of these focus on the built environment. In the U.S. and elsewhere, large-scale infrastructure is stressed; roads, bridges, sewers, and dams built in the last century are deteriorating. Rising population is taxing existing infrastructure more and more as its reliability declines. As a society, we are developing dependencies on new kinds of infrastructure; these too are fragile and may age even less gracefully than sewers and roads. Our infrastructure – including human services, financial, and information – is both increasingly vulnerable and increasingly critical to society. Around the world, we are extending the built environment into incre- ingly fragile natural environments, raising the potential for catastrophe from natural disasters. Social, economic and environmental disparities are also growing between groups, both within the U.S. and between developed and developing countries, putting vulnerable groups even more at risk from extreme events.

• Earthquake
• Loss Assessment
• Natural Hazard
• Risk
• Risk Assessment
• decision support
• development
• risk analysis
• science and technology
• seismic
• uncertainty
• quality control, reliability, safety and risk

• Daniel J. Evans School of Public Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle, USA

  Ann Bostrom

• Georgia Institute of Technology, Center for Geographic Information Systems, College of Architecture, Atlanta, USA

  Steven French, Sara Gottlieb

Policies and ethics