Forecasting the Internet

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xv

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2. Introduction

   • David G. Loomis

   Pages 1-4

3. Forecasting the Internet

   • Lester D. Taylor

   Pages 5-9

4. The Demand for High-Speed Access to the Internet:

   • Don Kridel, Paul Rappoport, Lester Taylor

   Pages 11-22

5. What Drives Internet Demand in the UK?

   • David Cracknell, Sumit Majumdar, Nimeshh Patel

   Pages 23-44

6. Forecasts for Internet/Online Access

   • Lawrence Vanston

   Pages 45-58

7. Forecasting the Residential Data-Wave

   • Ann Matthews

   Pages 59-79

8. On Forecasting the Demand for E-Commerce

   • Michael R. Ward

   Pages 81-103

9. Internet Forecasting and the Economics of Networks

   • Gary Madden, Grant Coble-Neal

   Pages 105-130

10. Bandwith Forecasting: A Techno-Economic Approach

    • Steven G. Lanning

    Pages 131-146

11. The Increasing Importance of Broadband Services and Its Reflection in European Telecommunications Regulation

    • Ernst-Olav Ruhle

    Pages 147-186

12. The Internet: Market and Regulatory Conundrums

    • Aniruddha Banerjee, Agustin Ros

    Pages 187-216

13. U. S. Broadband Pricing and Alternatives for Internet Service Providers

    • David Loomis, Joseph Wiedman

    Pages 217-243

14. Back Matter

    Pages 245-250

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David O. Loomis Illinois State University The explosive growth of the Internet has caught most industry experts off guard. While data communications was expected to be the "wave of the future," few industry observers foresaw how rapid the change in focus from voice communications towards data would be. Understanding the data communications revolution has become an urgent priority for many in the telecommunications industry. Demand analysis and forecasting are critical tools to understanding these trends for both Internet access and Internet backbone service. Businesses have led residential customers in the demand for data services, but residential demand is currently increasing exponentiall y. Even as business demand for data communications is becoming better understood, residential broadband access demand is still largely unexplored. Cable modems and ADSL appear to be the current residential broadband choices yet demand elasticities and econometric model-based forecasts for these services are not currently available. The responsiveness of customers to price and income changes and customer's perceptions of the tradeoff in product characteristics between cable modems and ADSL is largely unknown. Demand for Internet access is derived from the demand for applications which utilize this access; access is not demanded independent of its usage. Thus it is important to understand Internet applications in order to understand the demand for access.

• Internet
• Planning
• e-commerce
• growth
• networks

• Illinois State University, USA

  David G. Loomis

• University of Arizona, USA

  Lester D. Taylor

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