Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in
Book cover

Expert Judgment and Expert Systems

  • Conference proceedings
  • © 1987

Overview

Editors:
  1. Jeryl L. Mumpower

    1. Department of Public Administration, Rockefeller College, State University of New York, Albany, USA

    View editor publications

    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

  2. Ortwin Renn

    1. Clark University, Worcester, USA

    View editor publications

    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

  3. Lawrence D. Phillips

    1. Decision Analysis Unit, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK

    View editor publications

    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

  4. V. R. R. Uppuluri

    1. Mathematics and Statistics, Research Department, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, USA

    View editor publications

    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

Part of the book series: NATO ASI Subseries F: (NATO ASI F, volume 35)

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this book

Log in via an institution
eBook USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access

Licence this eBook for your library

Institutional subscriptions

Table of contents (19 papers)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-VIII
    Download chapter PDF

  2. Keynote Lectures

    1. Toward a Unified Approach to the Study of Expert Judgment

      • Kenneth R. Hammond
      Pages 1-16

    2. Some Abstract Problems in Knowledge Representation

      • Michael M. Richter
      Pages 17-25

    3. Principles of the Analytic Hierarchy Process

      • Thomas L. Saaty
      Pages 27-73

    4. Policy Analysis and Decision Aids

      • Stephen Watson
      Pages 75-84

  3. Invited Presentations

    1. Knowledge Systems, Expert Systems, and Risk Communication

      • Joseph Fiksel, Vincent T. Covello
      Pages 85-103

    2. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Is Probability Epistemologically and Heuristically Adequate?

      • Max Henrion
      Pages 105-129

    3. The Use of Causal Knowledge for Inferential Reasoning

      • Helmut Jungermann, Manfred Thüring
      Pages 131-146

    4. Interactive Decision Support Systems for Enhancing Expert Judgment

      • İbrahim Kavrakoğlu
      Pages 147-153

    5. Value-Driven Expert Systems for Decision Support

      • Ralph L. Keeney
      Pages 155-171

    6. Expert Systems and Creativity

      • Kenneth R. MacCrimmon, Christian Wagner
      Pages 173-193

    7. Expert Systems and Expert Judgment: A User’s Perspective

      • L. E. Milton
      Pages 195-215

    8. Very Simple Expert Systems: An Application of Judgment Analysis to Political Risk Analysis

      • Jeryl L. Mumpower
      Pages 217-240

    9. Expert Systems and Intelligent Computer-Assisted-Instruction

      • Emrah Orhun
      Pages 241-249

    10. Assessing the Effectiveness of Expert Teams

      • John Rohrbaugh
      Pages 251-267

    11. Expert Systems as Cognitive Tools for Human Decision Making

      • Franz Schmalhofer
      Pages 269-288

    12. Psychological Characteristics of Expert Decision Makers

      • James Shanteau
      Pages 289-304

    13. Descriptive and Prescriptive Models for Judgment and Decision Making: Implications for Knowledge Engineering

      • Thomas R. Stewart, Claude McMillan Jr.
      Pages 305-320

    14. Knowledge Extraction from Experts in View of the Construction of Expert Systems

      • F. Vandamme
      Pages 321-337

    15. Common Sense Knowledge in Expert Systems

      • Thomas Wetter
      Pages 339-358
Back to top

Keywords

About this book

This volume is an outgrowth of a NATO Advanced Research Workshop on "Expert Judgment and Expert Systems," held in Porto, Portugal, August 1986. Support for the Workshop was provided by the NATO Division of Scientific Affairs, the U.S. Army Research Institute, and the U.S. National Science Foundation. The Workshop brought together researchers from the fields of psychology, decision analysis, and artificial intelligence. The purposes were to assess similarities, differences, and complementarities among the three approaches to the study of expert judgment; to evaluate their relative strengths and weaknesses; and to propose profitable linkages between them. Each of the papers in the present volume is directed toward one or more of those goals. We wish to express our appreciation and thanks to the following persons for their support and assistance: John Adams, Vincent T. Covello, Luis da Cunha, Claire Jeseo, B. Michael Kantrowitz, Margaret Lally, Judith Orasanu, R. M. Rodrigues, and Sandor P. Schuman.

Editors and Affiliations

  • Department of Public Administration, Rockefeller College, State University of New York, Albany, USA

    Jeryl L. Mumpower

  • Clark University, Worcester, USA

    Ortwin Renn

  • Decision Analysis Unit, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK

    Lawrence D. Phillips

  • Mathematics and Statistics, Research Department, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, USA

    V. R. R. Uppuluri

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Expert Judgment and Expert Systems

  • Editors: Jeryl L. Mumpower, Ortwin Renn, Lawrence D. Phillips, V. R. R. Uppuluri

  • Series Title: NATO ASI Subseries F:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-86679-1

  • Publisher: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1987

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-3-642-86681-4Published: 12 June 2012

  • eBook ISBN: 978-3-642-86679-1Published: 06 December 2012

  • Series ISSN: 0258-1248

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: VIII, 361

  • Number of Illustrations: 5 b/w illustrations

  • Topics: Artificial Intelligence

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Back to top

Search

Navigation