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  • Book
  • © 2009

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

  • Written by a leading authority in the field
  • Shows practitioners how Quantitative Risk Analysis can improve risk management decisions and policies
  • Demonstrates applications in complex and uncertain biological, engineering, and social systems
  • Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras

Part of the book series: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (ISOR, volume 129)

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Table of contents (16 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xxviii
  2. PART 1 INTRODUCTION TO RISK ANALYSIS

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1
    2. Quantitative Risk Assessment Goals and Challenges

      • Louis Anthony Cox Jr
      Pages 3-33
    3. Introduction to Engineering Risk Analysis

      • Louis Anthony Cox Jr
      Pages 35-72
    4. Introduction to Health Risk Analysis

      • Louis Anthony Cox Jr
      Pages 73-97
  3. PART 2 AVOIDING BAD RISK ANALYSIS

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1
    2. Limitations of Risk Assessment Using Risk Matrices

      • Louis Anthony Cox Jr
      Pages 101-124
  4. PART 3 PRINCIPLES FOR DOING BETTER

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1
    2. Bounding Resistance Risks for Penicillin

      • Louis Anthony Cox Jr
      Pages 223-236
    3. Determining What Can Be Predicted: Identifiability

      • Louis Anthony Cox Jr
      Pages 261-280

About this book

In Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems acknowledged risk authority Tony Cox shows all risk practitioners how Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) can be used to improve risk management decisions and policies. It develops and illustrates QRA methods for complex and uncertain biological, engineering, and social systems – systems that have behaviors that are just too complex to be modeled accurately in detail with high confidence – and shows how they can be applied to applications including assessing and managing risks from chemical carcinogens, antibiotic resistance, mad cow disease, terrorist attacks, and accidental or deliberate failures in telecommunications network infrastructure.  This book was written for a broad range of practitioners, including decision risk analysts, operations researchers and management scientists, quantitative policy analysts, economists, health and safety risk assessors, engineers, and modelers.

Reviews

From the reviews:

“The new results of this book include many real life applications especially in health management. … More applications to the specialists are given throughout the book. The book is written for practitioners but I think it is quite useful for anyone interested in risk analysis and assessment. … Concluding, this is one of the best books on quantitative risk assessment. I strongly recommended it to anyone interested in reducing risk in this highly volatile world.” (E. Ahmed, Zentralblatt MATH, Vol. 1168, 2009)

“The book is devoted to the development of quantitative risk assessment (QRA) for complex and uncertain biological, engineering, and social systems. … This book is written for practitioners using rational quantitative risk analysis in various areas. The methods and strategies included are good enough to help one make effective risk management decisions.” (Krzysztof Szajowski, Mathematical Reviews, Issue 2012 c)

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 149.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access