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European Energy Futures 2030

Technology and Social Visions from the European Energy Delphi Survey

  • Book
  • © 2007

Overview

Authors:
  1. Timon Wehnert

    1. IZT, Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment, Berlin, Germany

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  2. Juan Pedro López Araguás

    1. BestErgy — Energy Solutions, Bilbao, Spain

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  3. Oliviero Bernardini

    1. Italian Regulatory Authority for Electricity and Gas, Milano, Italy

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  4. Lukasz Jaworski

    1. EC BREC / CLN - EC Baltic Renewable Energy Centre, Warszawa, Poland

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  5. Birte Holst Jørgensen

    1. Nordic Energy Research, Oslo, Norway

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  6. Wolfram Jörß

    1. IZT, Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment, Berlin, Germany

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  7. Oliver Nielsen

    1. Greve Kommune, Greve, Denmark

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  8. Augusto Ninni

    1. Sezione di Scienze Economiche, Università degli Studi di Parma, Parma, Italy

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  9. Anna Oniszk-Poplawska

    1. IEO / EC BREC- EC Baltic Renewable Energy Centre, Warszawa, Poland

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  10. Daniela Velte

    1. Mikeletegi Pasalekua, INASMET-Tecnalia, Donostia-San Sebastián, Spain

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  • First Europe-wide Delphi study on future developments in the energy sector (Eur.

  • Del), covers 20 emerging technologies from all parts of the energy system ranging from energy supply, grid and storage issues, and energy demand for transportation, housing and industry

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Table of contents (16 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xxxii
    Download chapter PDF

  2. Introduction

    Pages 1-2

  3. Outline of the Report

    Pages 3-3

  4. Methodological Approach of EurEnDel

    Pages 5-13

  5. Main Survey Results

    Pages 15-51

  6. Comparison of Social and Technological Perspectives

    Pages 53-66

  7. EurEnDel Scenarios

    Pages 67-84

  8. Policy Recommendations

    Pages 85-108

  9. References

    Pages 109-112

  10. Annex A — Evaluation of former foresight studies

    Pages 113-127

  11. Annex B — Tables with Results from 1st and 2nd Survey Round

    Pages 129-139

  12. Annex C — Country Specific Analysis

    Pages 141-177

  13. Annex D — Correspondence Factors

    Pages 179-181

  14. Annex E — Graphs on Delphi results

    Pages 183-193

  15. Annex F — Description of Societal Visions

    Pages 195-198

  16. Annex G — Evaluation of Comments

    Pages 199-228

  17. Annex H — Statement list — short term descriptions

    Pages 229-231
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Keywords

About this book

Foresight is a vital prerequisite in order to bring our current energy system onto the path of sustainable development. Which technologies may be available in 25 years from now? Which technologies will be needed in the future? The European Energy Delphi project – EurEnDel aimed at bri- ing orienting knowledge to these two questions. Trying to show a glimpse of European Energy Futures in the year 2030. This book contains the main results of the EurEnDel project. It includes the findings of the European Energy Delphi survey and the resulting recommendations for R&D policy. In comparison to other industry sectors, energy has two very remarkable features: For one, transformations are very slow. Life-times of power plants are 30 years and longer. Thus the decisions we take today will still have impacts 30 to 50 years from now – which makes sound foresight so important. On the other hand, the energy system is strongly dependent on national political decisions. Priority setting may change quite drastically with new parties coming to power, at least for individual country. This is one of the reasons, why predictions in the energy field can be extremely difficult. Combining these two characteristics it becomes evident why foresight in the energy field must not be restricted to an analysis of what the future could be like, but must always assess what the future should be like. This book tries to weave together these two traces which were inh- ent in the EurEnDel project.

Authors and Affiliations

  • IZT, Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment, Berlin, Germany

    Timon Wehnert, Wolfram Jörß

  • BestErgy — Energy Solutions, Bilbao, Spain

    Juan Pedro López Araguás

  • Italian Regulatory Authority for Electricity and Gas, Milano, Italy

    Oliviero Bernardini

  • EC BREC / CLN - EC Baltic Renewable Energy Centre, Warszawa, Poland

    Lukasz Jaworski

  • Nordic Energy Research, Oslo, Norway

    Birte Holst Jørgensen

  • Greve Kommune, Greve, Denmark

    Oliver Nielsen

  • Sezione di Scienze Economiche, Università degli Studi di Parma, Parma, Italy

    Augusto Ninni

  • IEO / EC BREC- EC Baltic Renewable Energy Centre, Warszawa, Poland

    Anna Oniszk-Poplawska

  • Mikeletegi Pasalekua, INASMET-Tecnalia, Donostia-San Sebastián, Spain

    Daniela Velte

About the authors

Timon Wehnert graduated as physicist from Berlin Technical University and gained six years of professional experience in research and consultancy on energy and environmental topics, especially on energy technology foresight and energy research policy. Presently he is working as a researcher at the Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment (IZT), Berlin, Germany where he was the coordinator of the EurEnDel study on which the present book is based and which was carried out in co-operation with four other European Research Institutions.

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: European Energy Futures 2030

  • Book Subtitle: Technology and Social Visions from the European Energy Delphi Survey

  • Authors: Timon Wehnert, Juan Pedro López Araguás, Oliviero Bernardini, Lukasz Jaworski, Birte Holst Jørgensen, Wolfram Jörß, Oliver Nielsen, Augusto Ninni, Anna Oniszk-Poplawska, … Daniela Velte

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-69165-5

  • Publisher: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg

  • eBook Packages: Engineering, Engineering (R0)

  • Copyright Information: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2007

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-540-69164-8Published: 08 February 2007

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-3-642-08866-7Published: 15 October 2010

  • eBook ISBN: 978-3-540-69165-5Published: 27 April 2007

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XXXII, 232

  • Topics: Renewable and Green Energy, Electrical Engineering, Environmental Law/Policy/Ecojustice, Energy Policy, Economics and Management, Political Science, Energy, general

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