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Integrating Soft Computing into Strategic Prospective Methods

Towards an Adaptive Learning Environment Supported by Futures Studies

  • Presents a novel framework for using soft computing for future studies
  • Describes a set of methods aimed at reducing uncertainty, thus improving the inference process
  • Offers strategies to merge qualitative and quantitative approaches into prospective studies

Part of the book series: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing (STUDFUZZ, volume 387)

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Table of contents (8 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xxii
  2. Approaches to Futures Studies

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-2
    2. Brief History

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 3-28
    3. Strategic Prospective: Definitions and Key Concepts

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 29-41
    4. Fuzzy Optimization and Reasoning Approaches

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 43-66
  3. Meta-Prospective: An Enhanced Approach for Strategic Prospective

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 67-69
    2. Constructing Models

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 71-111
    3. Modeling and Simulation of the Future

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 113-147
    4. Experimental Applications: An Overview of New Ways

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 149-177
  4. Towards a Cloud-Based Adaptive Learning Environment

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 179-180
    2. Meta-Prospective Toolbox

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 181-201
    3. A Cloud Environment: A First Demo

      • Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas, José Luis Verdegay
      Pages 203-212
  5. Back Matter

    Pages 213-230

About this book

This book discusses how to build optimization tools able to generate better future studies. It aims at showing how these tools can be used to develop an adaptive learning environment that can be used for decision making in the presence of uncertainties. The book starts with existing fuzzy techniques and multicriteria decision making approaches and shows how to combine them in more effective tools to model future events and take therefore better decisions. The first part of the book is dedicated to the theories behind fuzzy optimization and fuzzy cognitive map, while the second part presents new approaches developed by the authors with their practical application to trend impact analysis, scenario planning and strategic formulation. The book is aimed at two groups of readers, interested in linking the future studies with artificial intelligence. The first group includes social scientists seeking for improved methods for strategic prospective. The second group includes computer scientists and engineers seeking for new applications and current developments of Soft Computing methods for forecasting in social science, but not limited to this.

Authors and Affiliations

  • School of Management, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia

    Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas

  • Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

    José Luis Verdegay

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access